Check it yourself

Verified. Top-100. Flagged ‘community moderator’.

Polymarket’s verified ‘community moderator’ bankrolled the wallets that answered his own bets

VerdictProbably the most toxic player in prediction markets.

Car (@CarOnPolymarket) bets on Polymarket questions. Money from his wallet built and fed the main wallet that proposed the official answers to those questions, and he held the answer being proposed most of the time.

Car’s wallet buys Yes; Car’s money funds the oracle wallet; the oracle wallet proposes Yes as the official answer.A POLYMARKET QUESTIONYes30¢No70¢CARCar’s walletUMAThe oracle walletYESYES$$$PROPOSED: YES
  1. 1Car’s wallet buys Yes
  2. 2Car’s money funds the oracle wallet
  3. 3The oracle wallet proposes Yes
The pattern in one loop. Every case below links to its transactions.

Figures as of 29 Sep 2026, 19:30 UTC (Polygon block 94,670,068). Live figures carry their own capture time.

Feb 202420252026
235 proposals and 45 disputes by the eight answer walletsfainter: the seven besides the oracle wallet311 posts he later deleted
899,389USDC.e
sent by Car’s wallet to the oracle wallet through Polymarket’s bridge (Relay)
arrived as 898,824.26 USDC; plus 39,299 USDC.e in 39 direct transfers, the first 888 USDC.e being that wallet’s first money
RelayBridge requests of Car’s wallet (Relay API) (opens in a new tab)
134answers
proposed by that wallet on UMA’s oracle for Polymarket
plus 21 disputes; UMA voters threw out 14 of the answers
PolygonscanOracle wallet on Polygonscan (opens in a new tab)
96 of 132proposals
where Car’s wallet already held the answer being proposed
5 times it held the other side; 31 times nothing
PolygonscanConditionalTokens balanceOf (read at the block before each proposal) (opens in a new tab)
51proposals
where Car bought that exact answer in the final 10 minutes before it was proposed
44 with orders he sent himself; 10 within 60 seconds
PolygonscanExample: his own order, 18 s before a proposal (13 Aug 2026) (opens in a new tab)
250,056.08USDC
paid by the oracle wallet into Car’s own Polymarket deposit address
12 transfers, each on its way to Car’s wallet 5 to 61 seconds later
ArbiscanDeposit address token transfers (Arbiscan) (opens in a new tab)
311posts
deleted from his X account; 306 recovered from the Internet Archive
including a sponsored post for a UMA voting pool and ‘I am not associated with Polymarket, I only received a badge’
WaybackInternet Archive index of his status URLs (opens in a new tab)
Read the story

Car (@CarOnPolymarket) is one of Polymarket’s most visible traders: #83 of all time by volume, a verified badge, and a profile Polymarket flags as ‘communityMod’ and ‘creator’. Polymarket APILeaderboard API (volume) (opens in a new tab)Polymarket APIMarkets traded (API) (opens in a new tab)Polymarket APIPolymarket public profile API (opens in a new tab)

His wallet also sent 39,299 USDC.e directly and 899,389 USDC.e through Polymarket’s bridge to a separate wallet that proposes the official answers to Polymarket questions through UMA, the system that decides who wins. RelayBridge requests of Car’s wallet (Relay API) (opens in a new tab)PolygonscanOracle wallet token transfers (Polygonscan) (opens in a new tab)

That wallet proposed 134 answers. At 96 of its 132 Yes/No proposals, Car’s wallet already held the answer being proposed, and before 51 of them he bought it in the final 10 minutes, 44 times with orders he sent himself. PolygonscanOracle wallet on Polygonscan (opens in a new tab)PolygonscanExample: the 23 Apr 2026 Yes proposal (ruled Too Early) (opens in a new tab)PolygonscanConditionalTokens balanceOf (read at the block before each proposal) (opens in a new tab)

UMA voters threw out 14 of its answers. In the comments he wrote ‘I proposed this’. On X he wrote that Polymarket ‘is 100% decentralized’. Polymarket APIhis comment (opens in a new tab)Xhis post (opens in a new tab)Waybackarchived copy (opens in a new tab)Polymarket APIhis comment (opens in a new tab)

The answer wallets

235 proposals and 45 disputes on 264 markets

Eight wallets linked to Car filed them on UMA’s oracle for Polymarket between 15 Jun 2024 and 3 Sep 2026: the oracle wallet and seven more. Car’s wallet traded 212 of those 264 markets. At 154 of the 235 proposals it already held the side being proposed; at 8, the opposite side. W9’s link to Car is strong but indirect: its last transaction sent its whole balance, 516.8 USDC.e, to Car’s wallet, and no transaction signed by Car’s key reaches it.

154 of 235 proposals: Car’s wallet already held the side being proposed.

154 held the side being proposed8 held the opposite side72 held neither side1 was a 50-50 answer

One square per proposal, read at the block before it. On-chain data as of 29 Sep 2026

Since 3 Sep 2026 none of them has proposed or disputed again, and four separate searches (the group’s saved fee setting, Car’s buying just before proposals, where the group’s money went, the profiles of newly listed proposers) found no new wallet taking over. PolygonscanThe oracle wallet’s last UMA action, 3 Sep 2026 16:09:43 (opens in a new tab)PolygonscanWhitelist removal, 6 Sep 2026 16:27:15 (opens in a new tab)


How it works, and what he does

Who decides what happened

The referee Polymarket uses to decide which answer won. Someone ‘proposes’ an answer; if nobody objects in time, that answer becomes final and the market pays out.

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The story

Two years and eight months, event by event

100 events from 9 Feb 2024 to 29 Sep 2026, in seven chapters, with the 23 key posts he deleted placed where they happened. Every event links to its records; small events open with a tap. Use the filters to follow one thread.

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His words

What he said, and what the chain shows

Seven things Car said in public, each next to what the records show happening around it. Every post links to X and to its archived copy; every record links to its transaction.

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Replays

Seven markets, second by second

Each replay runs the market's price with every trade, proposal, dispute and post in order, to the second. Press play, drag the slider or tap a row. Every step links to its record.


The pattern, measured

Not one market. Every proposal, counted.

What the answer wallets linked to Car did across every proposal and dispute, set against what everyone else did. Every chart has a table view.

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Follow the money

The money map

Every line is money moving between two addresses; thicker means more dollars. Ink lines start at Car's wallet, red lines at the answer wallets linked to him. Tap a line for its receipts, a dot for the wallet. On the full map, press play to watch the network grow.


Every wallet

The wallet directory

Every address on this page, printed in full, with what the records show about it and links to the block explorers.

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The deleted record

Every post he deleted

Every @CarOnPolymarket post id captured by the Internet Archive was checked against X’s embed service; 311 now return ‘deleted by the Post author’. Their text comes from the archived captures. All 311 are here, each with its original address on X and its archived copy.

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Every market

The markets

Car’s wallet traded 8,754 markets (8,105 regular markets and 649 combo parlays) with 251,923 fills. The eight answer wallets linked to him proposed or disputed on 264 markets; his wallet traded 212 of those.

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Check it yourself

Every claim here links to a public record

Nothing on this page needs to be taken on trust. Download the data, open the explorers, read the archived posts.

The key addresses

Three ways to check a claim

  1. Open any proposal or dispute link. Polygonscan shows the transaction; its Logs tab shows the wallet that sent it, the question and the answer it posted.
  2. Check what Car held. Polymarket’s ConditionalTokens contract holds every Polymarket share; its balanceOf shows exactly what Car’s wallet held at any block. Every “Car held” number here was read at the block before the action. PolygonscanConditionalTokens on Polygonscan (opens in a new tab)
  3. Read a deleted post. Each links to its original address on X, which now reports it as deleted, and to the Internet Archive copy made before it was removed.

When each figure was read

  • Holdings, markets and P&L: Polygon block 94,670,068, 29 Sep 2026 19:30 UTC
  • UMA proposals and whitelist: Polygon block 94,666,461, 29 Sep 2026 18:00 UTC
  • Dispute case records: Polygon block 94,665,715, 29 Sep 2026 17:41 UTC
  • Timing statistics: Polygon block 94,665,494
  • Proposals: Polygon block 94,669,025
  • Leaderboard capture: 29 Sep 2026 18:41 UTC